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Jaguare vs Serra

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
Jaguare Logo

Jaguare

0 - 2
FT
Serra Logo

Serra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Serra in this Campeonato Capixaba 2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jaguare
39%
Draws
30%
Serra
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Serra have won more games recently than Jaguare.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 20%
Serra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguare Serra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 12 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2024 Capixaba
Serra vs Jaguare
5:0
Mar 27, 2010 Capixaba
Serra vs Jaguare
1:2
Feb 5, 2010 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Serra
1:0
Apr 25, 2009 Capixaba
Serra vs Jaguare
1:5
Feb 28, 2009 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Serra
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguare 32 / 100
Serra 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguare Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Jaguare scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Serra let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Serra registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Serra
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguare

(Home)
23 Feb
Rio Branco ES
3 : 0
Jaguare
18 Feb
Jaguare
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
11 Feb
Real Noroeste
1 : 1
Jaguare
08 Feb
Jaguare
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
05 Feb
Porto Vitoria
3 : 1
Jaguare
Page 1 of 6

Serra

(Away)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Mateus 18 11 3 4 28:21 36
2 Rio Branco ES 18 8 7 3 35:21 31
3 Jaguare 18 9 3 6 30:25 30
4 Vilavelhense 18 8 4 6 29:27 28
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 8 3 7 18:19 27
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 4 8 26:24 22
7 Rio Bananal FC 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 GEL 18 6 2 10 24:33 20
9 Serra 18 5 4 9 32:39 19
10 Colatinense 18 5 3 10 25:34 18
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)