Sport Picks
Jaiba Brava vs Alacranes de Durango - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero 
AI Match Summary
Jaiba Brava host Alacranes de Durango in the Liga de Expansion MX. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alacranes de Durango have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while Jaiba Brava have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.27. Past meetings favor Jaiba Brava slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2008, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.25) back Alacranes de Durango to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Alacranes de Durango lately — more wins on the board than Jaiba Brava.
- Win probability leans Alacranes de Durango's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaiba Brava | Alacranes de Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaiba Brava found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Alacranes de Durango's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.
Solid form: Jaiba Brava remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Jaiba Brava
(Home)Alacranes de Durango
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
