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Jaiyq vs Arys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Jaiyq Logo

Jaiyq

Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Arys Logo

Arys

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaiyq host Arys in the First League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Jaiyq at 0.92 goals for, 1.21 against; Arys at 1.28 for, 2.1 against. Head-to-head, Jaiyq have won 1 to Arys's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.31) point toward Jaiyq. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Jaiyq
20%
Draws
56%
Arys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaiyq lately — more wins on the board than Arys.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Arys taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 18%
Arys Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiyq Arys
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0.92 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 First League
Arys vs Jaiyq
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiyq 23 / 100
Arys 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiyq Arys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Jaiyq's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Recent resilience: Jaiyq stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jaiyq VS Arys
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaiyq

(Home)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

Arys

(Away)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
11 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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