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Jaiyq vs Kaspij Aktau 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Kadyrbaev E.
31' Event
Umbetov T.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Jaiyq
20%
Draws
30%
Kaspij Aktau 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaiyq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaiyq have won more games recently than Kaspij Aktau 2.
  • Win probability leans Jaiyq's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 18%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiyq Kaspij Aktau 2
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.92 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs Kaspij Aktau 2
0:0
May 22, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Jaiyq
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiyq 40 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 2 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiyq Kaspij Aktau 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaiyq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaiyq found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).

Kaspij Aktau 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

Jaiyq has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kaspij Aktau 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaiyq VS Kaspij Aktau 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaiyq

(Home)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

Kaspij Aktau 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
11 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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