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Jaiyq vs Turan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaiyq host Turan in the First League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Jaiyq at 0.92 goals for, 1.21 against; Turan at 2.33 for, 1.47 against. Past meetings favor Jaiyq slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.56) point toward Turan. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Jaiyq
20%
Draws
56%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Turan have won more games recently than Jaiyq.
  • Turan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 15%
Turan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiyq Turan
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.92 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 First League
Turan vs Jaiyq
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiyq 23 / 100
Turan 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiyq Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Jaiyq's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Turan let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Jaiyq remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaiyq VS Turan
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaiyq

(Home)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

Turan

(Away)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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