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Jalapa vs Chinandega - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2020/2021
Jalapa Logo

Jalapa

1 - 1
FT
Chinandega Logo

Chinandega

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Alcazar E.
48' Event
Zuniga B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Primera 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jalapa
30%
Draws
23%
Chinandega
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jalapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jalapa have won more games recently than Chinandega.
  • Jalapa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 68%
Chinandega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jalapa Chinandega
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2021 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Chinandega
1:1
Feb 18, 2021 Liga Primera
Chinandega vs Jalapa
1:1
Nov 22, 2020 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Chinandega
0:2
Nov 15, 2020 Liga Primera
Chinandega vs Jalapa
1:1
Sep 13, 2020 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Chinandega
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jalapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuniga B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Chinandega Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcazar E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jalapa 95 / 100
Chinandega 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jalapa Chinandega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jalapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chinandega conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Jalapa scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Chinandega registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jalapa VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jalapa

(Home)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
Page 1 of 7

Chinandega

(Away)
08 Jun
UNAN-Managua
9 : 2
Chinandega
04 Jun
Chinandega
1 : 5
UNAN-Managua
27 Jun
Chinandega
3 : 3
Sport Sebaco
20 Jun
Sport Sebaco
2 : 0
Chinandega
05 May
Chinandega
0 : 3
Walter Ferreti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 13 1 4 36:16 40
2 Esteli 18 12 2 4 34:13 38
3 Managua FC 18 10 3 5 41:23 33
4 Walter Ferreti 18 10 3 5 29:17 33
5 Ocotal 18 7 5 6 22:21 26
6 Real Madriz 18 6 3 9 18:26 21
7 Jalapa 18 4 5 9 21:32 17
8 CD Junior 18 4 4 10 16:33 16
9 Juventus FC 18 4 3 11 17:33 15
10 Chinandega 18 3 5 10 17:37 14
Promotion - Liga Primera 2020/2021 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2020/2021 (Clausura - Winners)