Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jalapa vs San Marcos

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Primera Division 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jalapa in this Primera Division 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jalapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Jalapa
15%
Draws
59%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jalapa lately — more wins on the board than San Marcos.
  • Model gives San Marcos a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jalapa San Marcos
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 18 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.42 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Jalapa
3:1
Mar 30, 2014 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs San Marcos
2:1
Feb 9, 2014 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Jalapa
2:2
Oct 27, 2013 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs San Marcos
2:1
Sep 8, 2013 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Jalapa
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jalapa 28 / 100
San Marcos 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jalapa San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marcos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Jalapa scored in 71% of their last 38 games.

Jalapa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jalapa VS San Marcos
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jalapa

(Home)
20 Sept
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
Jalapa
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
Page 1 of 8

San Marcos

(Away)
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteli 18 11 6 1 31:9 39
2 Diriangen 18 8 9 1 27:15 33
3 Walter Ferreti 18 9 5 4 39:17 32
4 Managua FC 18 7 6 5 34:26 27
5 Real Madriz 18 8 3 7 28:30 27
6 Juventus FC 18 6 7 5 25:21 25
7 Ocotal 18 4 6 8 20:30 18
8 San Marcos 18 4 5 9 26:37 17
9 Jalapa 18 2 6 10 15:33 12
10 Chinandega 18 1 7 10 20:47 10
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)