Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
80' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Primera 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Jalapa
20%
Draws
64%
Walter Ferreti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Walter Ferreti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Jalapa have won more games recently than Walter Ferreti.
  • Walter Ferreti are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 16%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jalapa Walter Ferreti
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti
3:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Jalapa
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Jalapa
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jalapa 28 / 100
Walter Ferreti 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jalapa Walter Ferreti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walter Ferreti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jalapa found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Walter Ferreti has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Walter Ferreti's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jalapa VS Walter Ferreti
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jalapa

(Home)
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
17 Aug
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Jalapa
Page 1 of 6

Walter Ferreti

(Away)
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
15 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 3
Walter Ferreti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 12 3 3 40:19 39
2 Esteli 18 11 4 3 41:19 37
3 Jalapa 18 9 6 3 29:16 33
4 Managua FC 18 8 5 5 22:18 29
5 Matagalpa 18 5 7 6 30:24 22
6 Walter Ferreti 18 5 6 7 18:28 21
7 Sport Sebaco 18 6 2 10 23:24 20
8 UNAN-Managua 18 4 4 10 21:34 16
9 Rancho Santana 18 4 4 10 20:43 16
10 Real Madriz 18 4 3 11 14:33 15
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)