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Jamaica vs Venezuela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa América Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
Jamaica Logo

Jamaica

0 - 3
FT
Venezuela Logo

Venezuela

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Machis D.
46'
Sub
Cephas R. In: Dixon K.
Out: Cephas R.
49' Event
Bello E.
Assist: Aramburu J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jamaica
35%
Draws
25%
Venezuela
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jamaica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Venezuela haven't matched Jamaica's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jamaica a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Jamaica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Venezuela, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Jamaica Clean Sheet 20%
Venezuela Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamaica Venezuela
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2024 Copa América
Jamaica vs Venezuela
0:3
Jun 5, 2016 Copa América
Jamaica vs Venezuela
0:1
Mar 28, 2015 Friendly International
Jamaica vs Venezuela
2:1
Mar 26, 2011 Friendly International
Jamaica vs Venezuela
0:2
Apr 28, 2004 Friendly International
Jamaica vs Venezuela
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamaica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Venezuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Bello E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rondon S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamaica 42 / 100
Venezuela 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamaica Venezuela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jamaica scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Venezuela has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Jamaica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jamaica VS Venezuela
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamaica

(Home)
06 Oct
Honduras
1 : 1
Jamaica
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2
Jamaica
29 Sept
Jamaica
0 : 1
Honduras
26 Sept
Jamaica
3 : 2
Guatemala
06 Jun
Jamaica
1 : 1
South Africa
Page 1 of 7

Venezuela

(Away)
06 Oct
Jordan
0 : 0
Venezuela
02 Oct
South Korea
0 : 0
Venezuela
28 Sept
Japan
2 : 1
Venezuela
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
3 Chile 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
4 Peru 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Mexico 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Jamaica 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Panama 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 USA 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Bolivia 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Brazil 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Costa Rica 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Paraguay 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)