Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jamaica W vs Mexico W

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Women Estadio Complejo Deportivo Moca 85, Moca
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Richards D.
Penalty Missed
25' Event
Frias A.
29' Event
Coury N.

AI Match Summary

Mexico W in this Central American & Caribbean Games Women matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Jamaica W
20%
Draws
61%
Mexico W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Jamaica W haven't matched Mexico W's recent run of results.
  • Mexico W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Central American & Caribbean Games Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mexico W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Jamaica W Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamaica W Mexico W
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 11 27
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.81 3.24
Goals Conceded 2.29 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Jamaica W vs Mexico W
0:7
Apr 9, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Jamaica W
4:0
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Jamaica W
3:0
Oct 22, 2023 Pan American Games Women
Mexico W vs Jamaica W
7:0
Jul 3, 2023 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Jamaica W vs Mexico W
3:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamaica W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Mexico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Coury N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Frias A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamaica W 10 / 100
Mexico W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamaica W Mexico W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.20 goals as a typical output.

Jamaica W found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Mexico W has conceded goals in 26% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Jamaica W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jamaica W VS Mexico W
1.25 Goals Scored 3.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamaica W

(Home)
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Puerto Rico W
1 : 0
Jamaica W
29 Jul
Jamaica W
0 : 5
Colombia W
09 Jun
Panama W
0 : 0
Jamaica W
06 Jun
Panama W
0 : 1
Jamaica W
Page 1 of 7

Mexico W

(Away)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Mexico W
0 : 0
Puerto Rico W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela W 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 El Salvador W 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Costa Rica W 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Dominican Republic W 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico W 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Colombia W 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
3 Puerto Rico W 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
4 Jamaica W 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games Women (Play Offs)