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Mexico W vs Jamaica W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mexico W host Jamaica W in the Friendly International Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Jamaica W have shipped 2.39 goals a game lately, while Mexico W have conceded 0.39 and scored 3.11. Head-to-head, Mexico W have won 5 to Jamaica W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 0:7. xG projections (2.56 - 0.81) back Mexico W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Mexico W
20%
Draws
19%
Jamaica W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Mexico W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mexico W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mexico W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 20%
Jamaica W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico W Jamaica W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 22 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 3.11 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.39 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Jamaica W vs Mexico W
0:7
Apr 9, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Jamaica W
4:0
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Jamaica W
3:0
Oct 22, 2023 Pan American Games Women
Mexico W vs Jamaica W
7:0
Jul 3, 2023 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Jamaica W vs Mexico W
3:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico W 85 / 100
Jamaica W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico W Jamaica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico W's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.20 goals when they meet.

Mexico W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jamaica W has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mexico W VS Jamaica W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico W

(Home)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Mexico W
0 : 0
Puerto Rico W
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Jamaica W

(Away)
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Puerto Rico W
1 : 0
Jamaica W
29 Jul
Jamaica W
0 : 5
Colombia W
09 Jun
Panama W
0 : 0
Jamaica W
06 Jun
Panama W
0 : 1
Jamaica W
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