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Jamaica W vs South Africa W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Montego Bay Sports Complex
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jamaica W play South Africa W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jamaica W averaged 4.57 goals scored and 0.43 conceded. South Africa W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Jamaica W won 2, South Africa W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 3, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.60 for Jamaica W and 0.96 for South Africa W. This points to a South Africa W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jamaica W
6%
Draws
4%
South Africa W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jamaica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Africa W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Jamaica W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Jamaica W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International Women 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Jamaica W Clean Sheet 68%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamaica W South Africa W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 4.57 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.43 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 4.57 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.43 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2024 Friendly International Women
Jamaica W vs South Africa W
3:2
Nov 30, 2024 Friendly International Women
Jamaica W vs South Africa W
3:0
Apr 7, 2019 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Jamaica W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamaica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sampson V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spence D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.52
Avg xA / game 2.29

South Africa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Motlhalo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Motau A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamaica W 95 / 100
South Africa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamaica W South Africa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jamaica W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

South Africa W let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Jamaica W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

South Africa W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jamaica W VS South Africa W
4.57 Goals Scored 1.5
0.43 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 25%
57% Over 3.5 0%