Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jamaica W vs South Africa W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Montego Bay Sports Complex, Montego Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Wilson S.
49'
Sub
Michael N. In: Dhlamini K.
Out: Michael N.
49'
Sub
Motau A. In: Kgoale N.
Out: Motau A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Jamaica W and South Africa W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jamaica W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Jamaica W
22%
Draws
60%
South Africa W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: South Africa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Jamaica W haven't matched South Africa W's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on South Africa W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Jamaica W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Jamaica W Clean Sheet 14%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamaica W South Africa W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2024 Friendly International Women
Jamaica W vs South Africa W
3:2
Nov 30, 2024 Friendly International Women
Jamaica W vs South Africa W
3:0
Apr 7, 2019 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Jamaica W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamaica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wilson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

South Africa W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamaica W 19 / 100
South Africa W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamaica W South Africa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Jamaica W scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: South Africa W conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Jamaica W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jamaica W VS South Africa W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamaica W

(Home)
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Puerto Rico W
1 : 0
Jamaica W
29 Jul
Jamaica W
0 : 5
Colombia W
09 Jun
Panama W
0 : 0
Jamaica W
06 Jun
Panama W
0 : 1
Jamaica W
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South Africa W

(Away)
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
27 Jul
South Africa W
1 : 2
Tanzania W
09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1
South Africa W
06 Jun
Japan W
5 : 0
South Africa W
17 Apr
South Africa W
2 : 0
Algeria W
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