Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U16 vs Italy U16 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024 Leo-Lagrange sports complex, Bonneuil-sur-Marne
Sat, Nov 2, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Japan U16 host Italy U16 in the Friendly International 2024. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Japan U16 at 1.52 goals for, 1.62 against; Italy U16 at 1.65 for, 1.81 against. Head-to-head, Japan U16 have won 0 to Italy U16's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.13, favoring Italy U16. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Japan U16
15%
Draws
49%
Italy U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Italy U16 lately — more wins on the board than Japan U16.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U16 Italy U16
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Italy U16
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Italy U16
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U16 31 / 100
Italy U16 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U16 Italy U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U16 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Italy U16 conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Japan U16 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Japan U16 VS Italy U16
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U16

(Home)
21 Apr
Cameroon U16
1 : 2
Japan U16
19 Apr
Japan U16
1 : 0
Mexico U16
17 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
Japan U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
18 Feb
Japan U16
3 : 1
Netherlands U16
Page 1 of 6

Italy U16

(Away)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Norway U16
1 : 2
Italy U16
29 May
Italy U16
3 : 2
South Korea U16
10 Apr
Czech Republic U16
0 : 2
Italy U16
08 Apr
Czech Republic U16
3 : 0
Italy U16
Page 1 of 7