Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U16 vs Netherlands U16

World World

Friendly International 2025 Sports Complex Vila Real de Santo Antonio, Vila Real de Santo António
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tatsuno K.
66' Event
Koyama M.
74' Event
Takaki E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Japan U16 and Netherlands U16 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Japan U16
15%
Draws
53%
Netherlands U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U16 haven't matched Netherlands U16's recent run of results.
  • Netherlands U16 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 15%
Netherlands U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U16 Netherlands U16
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2025 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Netherlands U16
3:1
Feb 11, 2024 Friendly International
Netherlands U16 vs Japan U16
6:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tatsuno K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koyama M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Netherlands U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Simeon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U16 10 / 100
Netherlands U16 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U16 Netherlands U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U16's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Netherlands U16 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Japan U16 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U16 VS Netherlands U16
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U16

(Home)
21 Apr
Cameroon U16
1 : 2
Japan U16
19 Apr
Japan U16
1 : 0
Mexico U16
17 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
Japan U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
18 Feb
Japan U16
3 : 1
Netherlands U16
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Netherlands U16

(Away)
25 Apr
Netherlands U16
3 : 0
China U16
23 Apr
Netherlands U16
3 : 0
Wales U16
15 Apr
Belgium U16
0 : 2
Netherlands U16
13 Apr
Netherlands U16
2 : 0
Sweden U16
11 Apr
Denmark U16
0 : 2
Netherlands U16
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