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Japan U17 vs Indonesia U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 King Abdullah Sports City Training Stadium (Pitch A), Jeddah
Japan U17 Logo

Japan U17

3 - 1
FT
Indonesia U17 Logo

Indonesia U17

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Tsuneyoshi R.
Assist: Shiraogawa R.
46'
Sub
Wicaksono P. In: Ridho
Out: Wicaksono P.
46'
Sub
Ary F. In: Akbar I.
Out: Ary F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Japan U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Japan U17
15%
Draws
24%
Indonesia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Japan U17 lately — more wins on the board than Indonesia U17.
  • Win probability leans Japan U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Japan U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Indonesia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 Indonesia U17
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.3 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.62 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U17
Japan U17 vs Indonesia U17
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsuneyoshi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wada T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Indonesia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tjoe P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 85 / 100
Indonesia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 Indonesia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U17 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Japan U17 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Indonesia U17 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 VS Indonesia U17
1.38 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U17

(Home)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
Page 1 of 6

Indonesia U17

(Away)
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
Qatar U17
2 : 0
Indonesia U17
05 May
Indonesia U17
1 : 0
China U17
10 Nov
Honduras U17
1 : 2
Indonesia U17
07 Nov
Brazil U17
4 : 0
Indonesia U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U17 3 2 1 0 11:5 7
2 Tajikistan U17 3 2 1 0 8:5 7
3 Thailand U17 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
4 Myanmar U17 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 China U17 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
3 Qatar U17 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Indonesia U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
2 South Korea U17 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Yemen U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 United Arab Emirates U17 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Australia U17 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 India U17 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
4 North Korea U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)