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Japan U17 vs Nepal U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 9-2, with Japan U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Japan U17
15%
Draws
0%
Nepal U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Japan U17 taking it.
  • Japan U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Nepal U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 Nepal U17
Matches Played 33 18
Wins 21 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.58 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.15 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U17
Japan U17 vs Nepal U17
9:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 85 / 100
Nepal U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 Nepal U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U17 scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Nepal U17 conceded in 89% of 18 recent games.

H2H data points to 11.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Japan U17 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 VS Nepal U17
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U17

(Home)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
Page 1 of 7

Nepal U17

(Away)
28 Nov
Afghanistan U17
2 : 0
Nepal U17
26 Nov
Oman U17
5 : 0
Nepal U17
24 Nov
Nepal U17
0 : 4
Myanmar U17
22 Nov
Nepal U17
2 : 4
Syria U17
27 Oct
Mongolia U17
1 : 0
Nepal U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 4 4 0 0 17:4 12
2 Iran U17 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Hong Kong U17 4 2 0 2 7:17 6
4 Syria U17 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
5 Jordan U17 4 0 0 4 4:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afghanistan U17 4 4 0 0 23:3 12
2 Philippines U17 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
3 Bangladesh U17 4 2 0 2 10:4 6
4 Cambodia U17 4 2 0 2 3:5 6
5 Macau U17 4 0 0 4 0:24 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U17 4 3 1 0 22:2 10
2 China U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
3 Bahrain U17 4 2 0 2 2:4 6
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
5 Maldives U17 4 0 1 3 2:25 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 3 3 0 0 24:2 9
2 India U17 3 2 0 1 16:3 6
3 Turkmenistan U17 3 1 0 2 10:3 3
4 Brunei U17 3 0 0 3 0:42 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Iraq U17 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Palestine U17 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Chinese Taipei U17 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 3 0 0 21:2 9
2 Qatar U17 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Mongolia U17 3 1 0 2 1:9 3
4 Nepal U17 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 3 2 1 0 22:1 7
2 Indonesia U17 3 2 1 0 11:0 7
3 Kuwait U17 3 1 0 2 10:4 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U17 3 0 0 3 0:38 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U17 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Malaysia U17 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
3 Laos U17 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
4 Lebanon U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Vietnam U17 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 Myanmar U17 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U17 3 3 0 0 38:1 9
2 Oman U17 3 2 0 1 23:2 6
3 Singapore U17 3 1 0 2 15:8 3
4 Guam U17 3 0 0 3 0:65 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams