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Japan U17 vs New Caledonia U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup U17 2017 Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Nakamura K.
21'
Sub
Welepane H. In: Hlemu J.
Out: Welepane H.
57'
Sub
Nakamura K. In: Sugawara Y.
Out: Nakamura K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Japan U17
15%
Draws
5%
New Caledonia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Japan U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Japan U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 20%
New Caledonia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 New Caledonia U17
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.26 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2025 World Cup U17
Japan U17 vs New Caledonia U17
0:0
Oct 14, 2017 World Cup U17
Japan U17 vs New Caledonia U17
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakamura K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

New Caledonia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeno A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.49
Avg xA / game 0.3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 85 / 100
New Caledonia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 New Caledonia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U17's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

New Caledonia U17 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Japan U17 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: New Caledonia U17 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 VS New Caledonia U17
1.38 Goals Scored 0.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 7.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U17

(Home)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
Page 1 of 7

New Caledonia U17

(Away)
09 Nov
Morocco U17
16 : 0
New Caledonia U17
06 Nov
Japan U17
0 : 0
New Caledonia U17
03 Nov
New Caledonia U17
1 : 6
Portugal U17
17 Nov
Iran U17
5 : 0
New Caledonia U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
9 : 0
New Caledonia U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana U17 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
2 Colombia U17 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 USA U17 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
4 India U17 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraguay U17 3 3 0 0 10:5 9
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 New Zealand U17 3 0 1 2 4:8 1
4 Turkey U17 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U17 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Germany U17 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
3 Guinea U17 3 0 1 2 4:8 1
4 Costa Rica U17 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Spain U17 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Niger U17 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 North Korea U17 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Japan U17 3 1 1 1 8:4 4
3 Honduras U17 3 1 0 2 7:11 3
4 New Caledonia U17 3 0 1 2 2:13 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Iraq U17 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Mexico U17 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Chile U17 3 0 1 2 0:7 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams