Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U17 vs Tajikistan U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 King Abdullah Sports City Training Stadium (Pitch C)
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Kitahara M.
Assist: Iwatsuchi S.
44'
Kurahashi Y.
46'
Sub
Kurahashi Y. In: Kumada Y.
Out: Kurahashi Y.

AI Match Summary

Japan U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Japan U17
6%
Draws
4%
Tajikistan U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan U17 have won more games recently than Tajikistan U17.
  • Model gives Japan U17 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in AFC Asian Cup U17 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Tajikistan U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 Tajikistan U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U17
Japan U17 vs Tajikistan U17
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitahara M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saito K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tajikistan U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 85 / 100
Tajikistan U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 Tajikistan U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U17's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Japan U17 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tajikistan U17 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 VS Tajikistan U17
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Saudi Arabia U171
China U173
Vietnam U170
Australia U173
Japan U175
Tajikistan U170
Uzbekistan U173
South Korea U172
Semi-finals
China U172
Australia U170
Japan U172
Uzbekistan U171
Final
China U172
Japan U173