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Stadium Background

Japan U19 W vs China U19 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Championship Women U19
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kato M.
70' Event
Morita M.
72' Event
Pingwei S.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship Women U19 game between Japan U19 W and China U19 W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Japan U19 W
15%
Draws
17%
China U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Japan U19 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Japan U19 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship Women U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Japan U19 W Clean Sheet 20%
China U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U19 W China U19 W
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 29 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 3 1.78
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2019 AFC Championship Women U19
Japan U19 W vs China U19 W
2:1
Oct 25, 2017 AFC Championship Women U19
Japan U19 W vs China U19 W
5:0
Aug 22, 2015 AFC Championship Women U19
China U19 W vs Japan U19 W
2:3
Oct 18, 2013 AFC Championship Women U19
China U19 W vs Japan U19 W
2:2
Oct 6, 2011 AFC Championship Women U19
Japan U19 W vs China U19 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kato M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morita M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4

China U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pingwei S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U19 W 85 / 100
China U19 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U19 W China U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U19 W scored in 89% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

China U19 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Japan U19 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U19 W VS China U19 W
3.38 Goals Scored 1.6
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U19 W

(Home)
03 Jun
France U23 W
4 : 1
Japan U19 W
31 May
Japan U19 W
1 : 0
Czech Republic U23 W
28 May
Japan U19 W
4 : 0
Morocco U23 W
21 May
France U19 W
0 : 7
Japan U19 W
19 May
Japan U19 W
4 : 0
Panama U20 W
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China U19 W

(Away)
03 Nov
Japan U19 W
2 : 1
China U19 W
31 Oct
Myanmar U19 W
1 : 5
China U19 W
28 Oct
China U19 W
1 : 2
South Korea U19 W
04 Mar
Scotland U19 W
1 : 0
China U19 W
02 Mar
England U19 W
5 : 1
China U19 W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U19 W 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Australia U19 W 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
3 Vietnam U19 W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Thailand U19 W 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship Women U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship Women U19 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U19 W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 South Korea U19 W 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 China U19 W 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
4 Myanmar U19 W 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship Women U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship Women U19 (Play Offs)