Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U19 W vs Morocco U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Parc des sports, Avignon
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
El Amrani O.
Own Goal
41'
Sub
Mahy K. In: Boukakar R.
Out: Mahy K.
45' Event
Itamura M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Japan U19 W and Morocco U23 W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Japan U19 W
6%
Draws
4%
Morocco U23 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Japan U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan U19 W come out ahead of Morocco U23 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Japan U19 W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Japan U19 W Clean Sheet 20%
Morocco U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U19 W Morocco U23 W
Matches Played 33 11
Wins 27 1
Draws 2 3
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 3.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Japan U19 W vs Morocco U23 W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Itamura M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Morocco U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U19 W 85 / 100
Morocco U23 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U19 W Morocco U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U19 W's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Morocco U23 W let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Japan U19 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U19 W VS Morocco U23 W
3.88 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U19 W

(Home)
03 Jun
France U23 W
4 : 1
Japan U19 W
31 May
Japan U19 W
1 : 0
Czech Republic U23 W
28 May
Japan U19 W
4 : 0
Morocco U23 W
21 May
France U19 W
0 : 7
Japan U19 W
19 May
Japan U19 W
4 : 0
Panama U20 W
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Morocco U23 W

(Away)
09 Jun
Morocco U23 W
3 : 2
Benin W
02 Jun
Czech Republic U23 W
3 : 0
Morocco U23 W
30 May
France U23 W
4 : 0
Morocco U23 W
28 May
Japan U19 W
4 : 0
Morocco U23 W
08 Apr
Morocco U23 W
2 : 4
Tunisia W
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