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Japan U19 W vs North Korea U19 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Japan U19 W play North Korea U19 W in the Friendly International Women 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Japan U19 W averaged 3.07 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. North Korea U19 W averaged 3.03 goals scored and 0.47 conceded. In past meetings, Japan U19 W won 3, North Korea U19 W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 9, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Japan U19 W and 2.06 for North Korea U19 W. This points to a Japan U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Japan U19 W
15%
Draws
40%
North Korea U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U19 W picked up more points recently compared to North Korea U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
Japan U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
North Korea U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U19 W North Korea U19 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 24
Draws 2 1
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 3.07 3.03
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2019 AFC Championship Women U19
North Korea U19 W vs Japan U19 W
1:2
May 12, 2019 Friendly International Women
Japan U19 W vs North Korea U19 W
0:1
Oct 28, 2017 AFC Championship Women U19
North Korea U19 W vs Japan U19 W
0:1
Aug 29, 2015 AFC Championship Women U19
Japan U19 W vs North Korea U19 W
1:0
Oct 20, 2013 AFC Championship Women U19
Japan U19 W vs North Korea U19 W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U19 W 43 / 100
North Korea U19 W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U19 W North Korea U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Japan U19 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Japan U19 W attacking → ← attacking North Korea U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U19 W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

North Korea U19 W let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Japan U19 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

North Korea U19 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

74 Points in last 5 73
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.75
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63