Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U20 vs Egypt U20

World World

World Cup U20 Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ichihara R.
(Penalty)
44'
Sato R.
48' Event
Ishii H.
Assist: Saito S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Japan U20
20%
Draws
34%
Egypt U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U20 have won more games recently than Egypt U20.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Japan U20 taking it.
  • Japan U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Japan U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Egypt U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U20 Egypt U20
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.28 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 World Cup U20
Japan U20 vs Egypt U20
2:0
Dec 5, 2003 World Cup U20
Egypt U20 vs Japan U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishii H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Egypt U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U20 85 / 100
Egypt U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U20 Egypt U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U20's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Japan U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Egypt U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Japan U20 VS Egypt U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Japan U20
4 : 0
Yemen U20
03 Sept
Cambodia U20
0 : 8
Japan U20
31 Aug
Japan U20
4 : 0
Kuwait U20
11 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 1
Japan U20
06 Jun
Japan U20
1 : 0
Canada U20
Page 1 of 7

Egypt U20

(Away)
31 Jul
Egypt U20
3 : 0
Jordan U20
28 Jul
Egypt U20
2 : 0
Jordan U20
31 Mar
Egypt U20
0 : 0
Algeria U20
28 Mar
Egypt U20
2 : 2
Algeria U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Chile U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Chile U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
3 Egypt U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 New Zealand U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Paraguay U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 South Korea U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Panama U20 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Mexico U20 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Spain U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Brazil U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Italy U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Australia U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Cuba U20 3 0 1 2 4:8 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
2 South Africa U20 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 France U20 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
4 New Caledonia U20 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Norway U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Saudi Arabia U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams