Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U20 W vs Spain U20 W

World World

World Cup Women U20 2024 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Japan U20 W Logo

Japan U20 W

Sun, Sep 15, 2024
1 - 0
11:00 PM
Spain U20 W Logo

Spain U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Enrique O. In: Aparicio N.
Out: Enrique O.
46'
Sub
Ujihara R. In: Hayama M.
Out: Ujihara R.
56'
Sub
Ortega S. In: Moral L.
Out: Ortega S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Japan U20 W in this World Cup Women U20 2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Japan U20 W
20%
Draws
52%
Spain U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spain U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U20 W have won more games recently than Japan U20 W.
  • Spain U20 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Spain U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U20 W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U20 W Spain U20 W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 22 24
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 3.1 2.32
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2024 World Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs Spain U20 W
1:0
Aug 29, 2022 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Japan U20 W
3:1
Aug 24, 2018 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:3
Aug 9, 2018 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:0
Nov 16, 2016 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoneda H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spain U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U20 W 10 / 100
Spain U20 W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U20 W Spain U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U20 W scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Japan U20 W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Spain U20 W conceded in 42% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U20 W VS Spain U20 W
2.88 Goals Scored 3.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U20 W

(Home)
17 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Japan U20 W
12 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Japan U20 W
09 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 2
USA U20 W
06 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
09 Jun
England U20 W
0 : 1
Japan U20 W
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Spain U20 W

(Away)
27 Sept
Spain U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
Brazil U20 W
0 : 1
Spain U20 W
16 Sept
Spain U20 W
2 : 0
Portugal U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mexico U20 W 2
USA U20 W 3
Germany U20 W 5
Argentina U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 3
Cameroon U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 5
Austria U20 W 2
Japan U20 W 2
Nigeria U20 W 1
Spain U20 W 2
Canada U20 W 1
France U20 W 1
Netherlands U20 W 2
Colombia U20 W 1
South Korea U20 W 0
Quarter-finals
USA U20 W 3
Germany U20 W 2
Brazil U20 W 0
North Korea U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 1
Spain U20 W 0
Netherlands U20 W 3
Colombia U20 W 2
Semi-finals
USA U20 W 0
North Korea U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 2
Netherlands U20 W 0
Final
North Korea U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 0
USA U20 W 2
Netherlands U20 W 1