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Japan U21 vs Portugal U19

World World

Toulon Tournament 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Silva L.
36' Event
Tagawa K.
75'
Thebault-Yamaguchi L.

AI Match Summary

Japan U21 in this Toulon Tournament 2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Japan U21
22%
Draws
18%
Portugal U19
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Japan U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portugal U19 lately — more wins on the board than Japan U21.
  • Win probability leans Japan U21's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Toulon Tournament 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Japan U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Portugal U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U21 Portugal U19
Matches Played 22 33
Wins 8 17
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2018 Maurice Revello Tournament
Japan U21 vs Portugal U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tagawa K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ueda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Portugal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jota
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U21 68 / 100
Portugal U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U21 Portugal U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Japan U21 scored in 77% of their last 22 games.

Defensive concern: Portugal U19 conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Japan U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U21 VS Portugal U19
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico U2132107:27
2England U2132106:17
3China U2130123:61
4Qatar U1930122:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland U2132104:27
2France U2032016:26
3Togo U2131113:44
4South Korea U2030033:80
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Turkey U2032014:36
2Canada U2131202:15
3Japan U2131115:54
4Portugal U1930123:51