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Japan U22 vs Mexico U22 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Toulon Tournament 2019
Wed, Jun 12, 2019
3 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Mora A.
26'
Yrizar P.
33'
Iwasaki Y.

AI Match Summary

Japan U22 in this Toulon Tournament 2019 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Japan U22
20%
Draws
52%
Mexico U22
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico U22 lately — more wins on the board than Japan U22.
  • Japan U22 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Mexico U22 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U22, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Japan U22 Clean Sheet 19%
Mexico U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U22 Mexico U22
Matches Played 16 25
Wins 10 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2.56 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2019 Maurice Revello Tournament
Japan U22 vs Mexico U22
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soma Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogawa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Mexico U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Godinez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguirre E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U22 36 / 100
Mexico U22 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U22 Mexico U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Japan U22 scored in 75% of their last 16 outings.

Recent resilience: Japan U22 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mexico U22 conceded in 56% of 25 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U22 VS Mexico U22
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U22

(Home)
14 Jun
Netherlands U21
0 : 0
Japan U22
15 Jun
Brazil U22
2 : 1
Japan U22
12 Jun
Japan U22
3 : 2
Mexico U22
07 Jun
Portugal U19
1 : 0
Japan U22
04 Jun
Japan U22
6 : 1
Chile U23
Page 1 of 4

Mexico U22

(Away)
07 Jul
Mexico U22
2 : 1
Costa Rica U22
04 Jul
Mexico U22
3 : 0
Honduras U22
03 Jul
El Salvador U22
1 : 1
Mexico U22
29 Jun
Mexico U22
2 : 0
Dominican Republic U22
15 Jun
Mexico U22
1 : 0
Ireland U21
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Japan U22 3
Mexico U22 2
Brazil U22 2
Ireland U21 0
Final
Japan U22 1
Brazil U22 2
Mexico U22 1
Ireland U21 0