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Japan U23 vs Jordan U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Japan U23 Logo

Japan U23

Fri, Jan 16, 2026
2 - 1
11:30 AM
Jordan U23 Logo

Jordan U23

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Azaizeh A.
Assist: Khrouba M.
46'
Sub
Ishibashi S. In: Furuya S.
Out: Ishibashi S.
50' Event
Al Khob A.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Japan U23
15%
Draws
42%
Jordan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Japan U23 have won more games recently than Jordan U23.
  • Japan U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Japan U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Japan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Jordan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U23 Jordan U23
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 29 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.47 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Japan U23 vs Jordan U23
2:1
Jan 1, 2026 Friendly International
Jordan U23 vs Japan U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Jordan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Azaizeh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U23 95 / 100
Jordan U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U23 Jordan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U23 found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (36 games).

Jordan U23 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Japan U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U23 VS Jordan U23
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U23

(Home)
03 Oct
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Japan U23
30 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
26 Sept
Japan U23
1 : 0
North Korea U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 7
Japan U23
Page 1 of 8

Jordan U23

(Away)
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
27 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U20
1 : 2
Jordan U23
16 Jan
Japan U23
2 : 1
Jordan U23
12 Jan
Jordan U23
1 : 0
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vietnam U23 3
United Arab Emirates U23 2
Uzbekistan U23 0
China U23 1
Japan U23 2
Jordan U23 1
Australia U23 1
South Korea U23 2
Semi-finals
Vietnam U23 0
China U23 3
Japan U23 1
South Korea U23 0
Final
China U23 0
Japan U23 4
Vietnam U23 3
South Korea U23 2