Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U23 vs North Korea U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North Korea U23 in this Asian Games 2006 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Korea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Japan U23
15%
Draws
31%
North Korea U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Japan U23 lately — more wins on the board than North Korea U23.
  • Japan U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Japan U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Japan U23 Clean Sheet 20%
North Korea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U23 North Korea U23
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 26 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.24 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Asian Games
Japan U23 vs North Korea U23
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Asian Games
Japan U23 vs North Korea U23
2:1
Jan 16, 2018 AFC Asian Cup U23
Japan U23 vs North Korea U23
3:1
Jan 13, 2016 AFC Asian Cup U23
Japan U23 vs North Korea U23
1:0
Dec 6, 2006 Asian Games
Japan U23 vs North Korea U23
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U23 85 / 100
North Korea U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U23 North Korea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U23 scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

North Korea U23 let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Japan U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U23 VS North Korea U23
3 Goals Scored 1.43
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U23

(Home)
03 Oct
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Japan U23
30 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
26 Sept
Japan U23
1 : 0
North Korea U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 7
Japan U23
Page 1 of 7

North Korea U23

(Away)
26 Sept
Japan U23
1 : 0
North Korea U23
23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4
North Korea U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
North Korea U23
31 Mar
North Korea U23
3 : 1
Thailand U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Qatar U23 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
4 Jordan U23 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2006 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Bahrain U23 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Vietnam U23 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2006 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Kuwait U23 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Palestine U23 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2006 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Hong Kong U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 India U23 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Maldives U23 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2006 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Iraq U23 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Oman U23 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Malaysia U23 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2006 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Syria U23 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2006 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams