Sport Picks
Japan U23 vs South Korea U23
Asia
AFC Asian Cup U23 King Abdullah Sports City 
AI Match Summary
Japan U23 play South Korea U23 in the AFC Asian Cup U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, Japan U23 averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. South Korea U23 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Japan U23 won 2, South Korea U23 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 20, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Japan U23 and 0.58 for South Korea U23. This points to a Japan U23 double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Japan U23 picked up more points recently compared to South Korea U23.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 0.58 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Japan U23 | South Korea U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 23 | 18 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.33 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.57 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.29 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Japan U23 Compare
South Korea U23 Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Japan U23 scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
South Korea U23 let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Japan U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
South Korea U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics