Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U23 vs Ukraine Ol.

World World

Friendly International 2024 Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Szostak D. In: Kuliyev E.
Out: Szostak D.
46'
Sub
Bol A. In: Faryna M.
Out: Bol A.
46'
Sub
Yamada F. In: Hirakawa Y.
Out: Yamada F.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Japan U23 and Ukraine Ol. finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Japan U23
6%
Draws
4%
Ukraine Ol.
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Japan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ukraine Ol. haven't matched Japan U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Japan U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Japan U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine Ol. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U23 Ukraine Ol.
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 23 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International
Japan U23 vs Ukraine Ol.
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tanaka S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Ukraine Ol. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U23 85 / 100
Ukraine Ol. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U23 Ukraine Ol.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U23 scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Ukraine Ol. let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Recent resilience: Japan U23 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Japan U23 VS Ukraine Ol.
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%