Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan vs China

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship Yongin Mireu Stadium, Yongin
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hosoya M.
Assist: Tanaka S.
45'
Gao Tianyi
46'
Sub
Wang Shiqin In: Xie Wenneng
Out: Wang Shiqin

AI Match Summary

Japan in this EAFF E-1 Football Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Japan
35%
Draws
32%
China
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Japan have won more games recently than China.
  • Japan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this EAFF E-1 Football Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Japan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Japan Clean Sheet 68%
China Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan China
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.52 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Japan vs China
2:0
Nov 19, 2024 World Championship
China vs Japan
1:3
Sep 5, 2024 World Championship
Japan vs China
7:0
Jul 24, 2022 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Japan vs China
0:0
Jan 27, 2022 World Championship
Japan vs China
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosoya M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mochizuki H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

China Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan 59 / 100
China 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan China

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

China has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Japan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan VS China
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan

(Home)
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1
Sweden
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2
Japan
31 May
Japan
1 : 0
Iceland
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China

(Away)
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
05 Jun
Singapore
1 : 2
China
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
China
2 : 0
Curacao
26 Jan
Uzbekistan
2 : 2
China
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