Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Sub
Pu Hsin-Hui In: Yang Hsiao-Chuan
Out: Pu Hsin-Hui
61'
61'
Tanikawa M.
Assist: Takahashi H.
64'
64'
Sub
Shimizu R. In: Moriya M.
Out: Shimizu R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Japan W come out ahead of Chinese Taipei W on wins alone.
- Japan W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Japan W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Japan W, who have won 5 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Japan W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Japan W Clean Sheet 68%
Chinese Taipei W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Japan W | Chinese Taipei W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.91 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2026 Asian Games Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
4:0
Mar 4, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
2:0
Jul 9, 2025 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
4:0
Jul 23, 2022 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
4:1
Dec 11, 2019 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
9:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Japan W Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanikawa M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seike K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Chinese Taipei W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Japan W 95 / 100
Chinese Taipei W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Japan W Chinese Taipei W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Japan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Japan W's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.
Chinese Taipei W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Japan W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Japan W VS Chinese Taipei W
2.38 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Japan W
(Home) 21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8 Japan W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0 Thailand W
09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1 South Africa W
06 Jun
Japan W
5 : 0 South Africa W
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0 Thailand W
09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1 South Africa W
06 Jun
Japan W
5 : 0 South Africa W
21 Mar
Japan W
1 : 0 Australia W
Page 1 of 4
Chinese Taipei W
(Away) 21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1 Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Chinese Taipei W
2 : 1 Vietnam W
09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3 Chinese Taipei W
07 Jun
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 13 Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1 Chinese Taipei W
09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3 Chinese Taipei W
07 Jun
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 13 Chinese Taipei W
14 Mar
China W
2 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 5
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Australia W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Philippines W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Iran W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | North Korea W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Uzbekistan W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Bangladesh W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Chinese Taipei W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Vietnam W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 4 | India W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
