Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Sub
Pu Hsin-Hui In: Yang Hsiao-Chuan
Out: Pu Hsin-Hui
61'
61'
Tanikawa M.
Assist: Takahashi H.
64'
64'
Sub
Shimizu R. In: Moriya M.
Out: Shimizu R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Japan W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chinese Taipei W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Japan W come out ahead of Chinese Taipei W on wins alone.
- Chinese Taipei W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Japan W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Japan W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Japan W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Japan W Clean Sheet 14%
Chinese Taipei W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Japan W | Chinese Taipei W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 3.88 | 2.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.88 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
2:0
Jul 9, 2025 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
4:0
Jul 23, 2022 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
4:1
Dec 11, 2019 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
9:0
Sep 22, 2014 Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W vs Japan W
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Japan W Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanikawa M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seike K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94
Chinese Taipei W Compare
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Japan W 10 / 100
Chinese Taipei W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Japan W Chinese Taipei W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Japan W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Chinese Taipei W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Chinese Taipei W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Japan W VS Chinese Taipei W
3.88 Goals Scored 2.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Japan W
(Home) 09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1 South Africa W
06 Jun
Japan W
5 : 0 South Africa W
18 Apr
USA W
3 : 0 Japan W
15 Apr
USA W
0 : 1 Japan W
11 Apr
USA W
2 : 1 Japan W
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1 South Africa W
06 Jun
Japan W
5 : 0 South Africa W
21 Mar
Japan W
1 : 0 Australia W
15 Mar
Japan W
7 : 0 Philippines W
10 Mar
Japan W
4 : 0 Vietnam W
Page 1 of 4
Chinese Taipei W
(Away) 09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3 Chinese Taipei W
07 Jun
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 13 Chinese Taipei W
05 Jun
Chinese Taipei W
5 : 0 Northern Mariana Islands W
19 Mar
Chinese Taipei W
0 : 4 North Korea W
14 Mar
China W
2 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3 Chinese Taipei W
07 Jun
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 13 Chinese Taipei W
14 Mar
China W
2 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
10 Mar
India W
1 : 3 Chinese Taipei W
04 Mar
Japan W
2 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Australia W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Philippines W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Iran W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | North Korea W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Uzbekistan W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Bangladesh W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Chinese Taipei W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Vietnam W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 4 | India W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams