Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan W vs North Korea W

World World

Olympic Games Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Takahashi H.
76' Event
Fujino A.
Assist: Shimizu R.
81' Event
Kim Hye-Yong
Assist: Ri Hak

AI Match Summary

The Olympic Games Women 2024 game between Japan W and North Korea W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Japan W
17%
Draws
70%
North Korea W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: North Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • North Korea W haven't matched Japan W's recent run of results.
  • North Korea W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Japan W Clean Sheet 16%
North Korea W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan W North Korea W
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 20 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 4.13 2.86
Goals Conceded 0.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 2.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2024 Olympic Games Women
Japan W vs North Korea W
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Olympic Games Women
North Korea W vs Japan W
0:0
Oct 6, 2023 Asian Games Women
Japan W vs North Korea W
4:1
Dec 11, 2019 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs North Korea W
0:0
Aug 25, 2018 Asian Games Women
Japan W vs North Korea W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Takahashi H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fujino A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 2.06

North Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hye-Yong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.59

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan W 15 / 100
North Korea W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan W North Korea W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan W scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

North Korea W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 31% of 26 matches.

Japan W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan W VS North Korea W
4.13 Goals Scored 2.86
0.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Uzbekistan W0
Australia W13
North Korea W1
Japan W2