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Japan W vs Philippines W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka
Japan W Logo

Japan W

4 - 0
FT
Philippines W Logo

Philippines W

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Takarada S.
26' Event
Ueno M.
Assist: Shiokoshi Y.
36' Event
Takarada S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Japan W
15%
Draws
27%
Philippines W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Japan W a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Japan W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan W, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Japan W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Japan W Clean Sheet 20%
Philippines W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan W Philippines W
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 21 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.94 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Asian Games Women
Japan W vs Philippines W
4:0
Mar 15, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Japan W vs Philippines W
7:0
Sep 30, 2023 Asian Games Women
Japan W vs Philippines W
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Takarada S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ueno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Philippines W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan W 85 / 100
Philippines W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan W Philippines W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan W scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 6.67 goals.

Japan W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Philippines W let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan W VS Philippines W
3.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan W

(Home)
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3
Japan W
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0
South Korea W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8
Japan W
Page 1 of 7

Philippines W

(Away)
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
09 Jun
Albion San Diego W
0 : 2
Philippines W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
North Korea W 5
Chinese Taipei W 1
China W 1
Vietnam W 0
Japan W 4
Philippines W 0
South Korea W 6
Uzbekistan W 3
Semi-finals
North Korea W 2
China W 0
Japan W 2
South Korea W 0
Final
North Korea W 2
Japan W 3
China W 0
South Korea W 1