Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan W vs South Korea W

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 Hwaseong Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Narumiya Y.
Assist: Aikawa H.
45'
Jung Min-Young
46'
Sub
Ueno M. In: Shiokoshi Y.
Out: Ueno M.

AI Match Summary

The EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 game between Japan W and South Korea W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Japan W
6%
Draws
90%
South Korea W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Korea W haven't matched Japan W's recent run of results.
  • South Korea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Japan W Clean Sheet 16%
South Korea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan W South Korea W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 3.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Asian Cup Women
South Korea W vs Japan W
1:4
Jul 13, 2025 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs South Korea W
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
Japan W vs South Korea W
4:0
Jul 19, 2022 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs South Korea W
2:1
Jan 27, 2022 Asian Cup Women
Japan W vs South Korea W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Narumiya Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

South Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeong Da-Bin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan W 10 / 100
South Korea W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan W South Korea W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

South Korea W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Japan W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan W VS South Korea W
3.88 Goals Scored 2.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%