Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan W vs Thailand W

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka
Japan W Logo

Japan W

8 - 0
FT
Thailand W Logo

Thailand W

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Nakashima Y.
30' Event
Kamiya C.
Assist: Sakakibara K.
32'
Sub
Meekham S. In: Jiratanaphibun P.
Out: Meekham S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games Women game between Japan W and Thailand W finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Japan W
20%
Draws
20%
Thailand W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Japan W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Japan W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Asian Games Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Japan W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Japan W Clean Sheet 20%
Thailand W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan W Thailand W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 3 2.6
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Asian Games Women
Japan W vs Thailand W
8:0
Jan 30, 2022 Asian Cup Women
Japan W vs Thailand W
7:0
Aug 16, 2018 Asian Games Women
Thailand W vs Japan W
0:2
Nov 14, 2010 Asian Games Women
Thailand W vs Japan W
0:4
May 22, 2010 Asian Cup Women
Thailand W vs Japan W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakashima Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Takarada S.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.7
Avg xA / game 1.1

Thailand W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan W 85 / 100
Thailand W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan W Thailand W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Japan W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Thailand W has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan W VS Thailand W
3 Goals Scored 1.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan W

(Home)
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3
Japan W
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0
South Korea W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8
Japan W
Page 1 of 6

Thailand W

(Away)
21 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 0
Thailand W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0
Thailand W
09 Jun
Myanmar W
1 : 1
Thailand W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 20:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 3:5 6
3 Vietnam W 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
4 Thailand W 3 0 1 2 0:9 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 2 1 0 19:1 7
2 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Myanmar W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 1 2 0:16 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Uzbekistan W 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Hong Kong W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams