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Jaragua-SC vs CA Metropolitano

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nadson
39' Event
Ariel
69'
Andrigo

AI Match Summary

CA Metropolitano in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jaragua-SC
6%
Draws
90%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Metropolitano lately — more wins on the board than Jaragua-SC.
  • Win probability leans CA Metropolitano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 20%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua-SC CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 3 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 4.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs CA Metropolitano
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaragua-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ariel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nadson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
CA Metropolitano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua-SC CA Metropolitano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Jaragua-SC scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

CA Metropolitano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Away concern: CA Metropolitano has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaragua-SC VS CA Metropolitano
0.25 Goals Scored 2.13
4.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2Caravaggio1593342:1730
3CA Metropolitano1592425:1729
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1545614:2217
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1501145:571