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Jaragua-SC vs CA Metropolitano

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nadson
39' Event
Ariel
69'
Andrigo

AI Match Summary

CA Metropolitano in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jaragua-SC
15%
Draws
85%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Metropolitano lately — more wins on the board than Jaragua-SC.
  • Win probability leans CA Metropolitano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 20%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua-SC CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.54 1.57
Goals Conceded 3.18 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Jaragua-SC
6:1
May 27, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs CA Metropolitano
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaragua-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ariel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nadson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
CA Metropolitano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua-SC CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Metropolitano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Jaragua-SC scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

CA Metropolitano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Away concern: CA Metropolitano has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaragua-SC VS CA Metropolitano
0.25 Goals Scored 2.13
4.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaragua-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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CA Metropolitano

(Away)
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)