Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaragua-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 3 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guarani de Palhoca in this Catarinense 3 2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jaragua-SC
20%
Draws
80%
Guarani de Palhoca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarani de Palhoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani de Palhoca have won more games recently than Jaragua-SC.
  • Win probability leans Guarani de Palhoca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Guarani de Palhoca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani de Palhoca, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guarani de Palhoca have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua-SC Guarani de Palhoca
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.55 1.41
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
7:0
Jun 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Catarinense 3
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Catarinense 3
Jaragua-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Catarinense 3
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
Guarani de Palhoca 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua-SC Guarani de Palhoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani de Palhoca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Jaragua-SC scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Guarani de Palhoca conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Guarani de Palhoca has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaragua-SC VS Guarani de Palhoca
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaragua-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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Guarani de Palhoca

(Away)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Guarani de Palhoca 2
Jaragua-SC 1