Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Jaragua-SC

0 - 2

Nacao

Our Tip

Match Events

74'

Bicca M.

90'

Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nacao in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Jaragua-SC

Draws

90%

Nacao

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Nacao have won more games recently than Jaragua-SC.
Model gives Nacao a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 20%

Nacao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jaragua-SC	Nacao
Matches Played	25	27
Wins	3	4
Draws	4	12
Losses	18	11
Goals Scored	0.25	0.5
Goals Conceded	4.25	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2

Jaragua-SC vs Nacao

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

May 20, 2026 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Jaragua-SC

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 0 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaragua-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

Nacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Bicca M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua-SC 10 / 100

Nacao 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jaragua-SC Nacao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaragua-SC's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Nacao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Difficult form: Nacao registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaragua-SC VS Nacao

0.25 Goals Scored 0.5

4.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	Caravaggio	15	9	3	3	42:17	30
3	CA Metropolitano	15	9	2	4	25:17	29
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	15	4	5	6	14:22	17
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	15	0	1	14	5:57	1