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Jaragua vs Aparecida EC

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Goiano 2 2022
Jaragua Logo

Jaragua

2 - 1
FT
Aparecida EC Logo

Aparecida EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaragua in this Goiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Jaragua
20%
Draws
64%
Aparecida EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aparecida EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aparecida EC have won more games recently than Jaragua.
  • Win probability leans Aparecida EC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jaragua Clean Sheet 16%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua Aparecida EC
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.67 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 Goiano 2
Jaragua vs Aparecida EC
1:1
Sep 3, 2023 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Jaragua
1:0
Sep 24, 2022 Goiano 2
Jaragua vs Aparecida EC
2:1
Sep 7, 2022 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Jaragua
1:0
Oct 9, 2019 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Jaragua
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua 23 / 100
Aparecida EC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua Aparecida EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aparecida EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Aparecida EC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Jaragua scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aparecida EC
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaragua

(Home)
21 Oct
Goiatuba EC
4 : 2
Jaragua
15 Oct
Jaragua
3 : 4
Anapolina
07 Oct
Jaragua
1 : 1
Santa Helena
04 Oct
Centro Oeste
4 : 0
Jaragua
30 Sept
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
2 : 1
Jaragua
Page 1 of 6

Aparecida EC

(Away)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inhumas 14 8 3 3 17:7 27
2 Goiania 14 8 1 5 14:11 25
3 Anapolina 14 6 6 2 16:10 24
4 Aparecida EC 14 5 4 5 16:20 19
5 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 14 5 2 7 23:21 17
6 Jaragua 14 4 4 6 10:12 16
7 Itumbiara 14 4 4 6 17:22 16
8 Cerrado EC 14 2 4 8 9:19 10
Promotion - Goiano 2023 (Main)