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Jaragua vs Goiania

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Goiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 2022 game between Jaragua and Goiania finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goiania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Jaragua
35%
Draws
56%
Goiania
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Goiania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goiania come out ahead of Jaragua on wins alone.
  • Goiania are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Goiania have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Jaragua Clean Sheet 20%
Goiania Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua Goiania
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.67 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2022 Goiano 2
Goiania vs Jaragua
1:0
Sep 13, 2022 Goiano 2
Jaragua vs Goiania
0:1
Sep 22, 2018 Goiano 2
Jaragua vs Goiania
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua 12 / 100
Goiania 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua Goiania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goiania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goiania let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Jaragua's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Jaragua remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Goiania
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaragua

(Home)
21 Oct
Goiatuba EC
4 : 2
Jaragua
15 Oct
Jaragua
3 : 4
Anapolina
07 Oct
Jaragua
1 : 1
Santa Helena
04 Oct
Centro Oeste
4 : 0
Jaragua
30 Sept
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
2 : 1
Jaragua
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Goiania

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Luis
1 : 1
Goiania
26 Sept
Goiania
1 : 1
Tupy FC
23 Sept
Goiania
2 : 1
Morrinhos
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
13 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 1
Goiania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inhumas 14 8 3 3 17:7 27
2 Goiania 14 8 1 5 14:11 25
3 Anapolina 14 6 6 2 16:10 24
4 Aparecida EC 14 5 4 5 16:20 19
5 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 14 5 2 7 23:21 17
6 Jaragua 14 4 4 6 10:12 16
7 Itumbiara 14 4 4 6 17:22 16
8 Cerrado EC 14 2 4 8 9:19 10
Promotion - Goiano 2023 (Main)