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Jaraiz vs RCP Valverdeno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Fernandes R.
14' Event
Godoy A.
37' Event
Cordeiro F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 game between Jaraiz and RCP Valverdeno finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaraiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jaraiz
15%
Draws
51%
RCP Valverdeno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RCP Valverdeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • RCP Valverdeno haven't matched Jaraiz's recent run of results.
  • Jaraiz are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 20%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaraiz RCP Valverdeno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.4 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs RCP Valverdeno
5:0
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Jaraiz
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cordeiro F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

RCP Valverdeno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaraiz 42 / 100
RCP Valverdeno 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaraiz RCP Valverdeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaraiz's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

RCP Valverdeno let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

RCP Valverdeno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaraiz VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaraiz

(Home)
04 Oct
Montijo
2 : 0
Jaraiz
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1
SP Villafranca
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 6

RCP Valverdeno

(Away)
21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2
CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2
Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)