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Jarocin vs Chemik Police

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mykhailovskyi I.
57' Event
Dunaj M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Jarocin and Chemik Police finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Jarocin
22%
Draws
18%
Chemik Police
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Jarocin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jarocin's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 16%
Chemik Police Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin Chemik Police
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Chemik Police
1:1
Nov 11, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Jarocin
0:3
May 9, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Jarocin
0:0
Oct 5, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Chemik Police
0:1
May 13, 2009 Division 2 - West
Jarocin vs Chemik Police
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarocin Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunaj M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Chemik Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Mykhailovskyi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 57 / 100
Chemik Police 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin Chemik Police

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemik Police's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Jarocin found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Jarocin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jarocin VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%