Sport Picks
Jarocin vs Gwardia Koszalin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 
Match Events
27'
27'
Chyla D.
(Penalty)
58'
58'
Konopka M.
77'
77'
Pawlak D.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Jarocin and Gwardia Koszalin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jarocin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jarocin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jarocin carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Jarocin taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 17%
Gwardia Koszalin Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jarocin | Gwardia Koszalin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.11 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:3
Mar 13, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Gwardia Koszalin
2:1
Apr 4, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Jarocin
0:0
Aug 24, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:0
May 4, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Jarocin
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jarocin Compare
Top Goalscorer Konopka M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pawlak D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Gwardia Koszalin Compare
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jarocin 39 / 100
Gwardia Koszalin 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jarocin Gwardia Koszalin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jarocin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jarocin's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Gwardia Koszalin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Solid form: Jarocin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jarocin VS Gwardia Koszalin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jarocin
(Home) 27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0 Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8 Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1 Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0 Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 8
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0 Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8 Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1 Starogard Gdanski
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
20 May
Jarocin
3 : 2 Vineta Wolin
Page 1 of 4
Gwardia Koszalin
(Away) 08 Feb
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
0 : 1 Gwardia Koszalin
01 Feb
Gwardia Koszalin
3 : 0 Gryf Slupsk
26 Jun
Unia Janikowo
5 : 2 Gwardia Koszalin
19 Jun
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 0 Gwardia Koszalin
12 Jun
Gwardia Koszalin
2 : 6 Kleczew
Page 1 of 6
08 Feb
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
0 : 1 Gwardia Koszalin
26 Jun
Unia Janikowo
5 : 2 Gwardia Koszalin
19 Jun
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 0 Gwardia Koszalin
29 May
Chemik Police
0 : 2 Gwardia Koszalin
15 May
KS Mieszko Gniezno
0 : 1 Gwardia Koszalin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stezyca | 21 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 69:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Swit Szczecin | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 46:12 | 50 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 47:20 | 47 |
| 4 | Elana Torun | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 41:20 | 36 |
| 5 | Starogard Gdanski | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 29:29 | 36 |
| 6 | Przodkowo | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 36:23 | 35 |
| 7 | B. Gdynia | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 31:21 | 34 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin II | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 48:39 | 34 |
| 9 | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 32:24 | 32 |
| 10 | Kleczew | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 33:32 | 30 |
| 11 | Jarocin | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 43:33 | 29 |
| 12 | Baltyk Koszalin | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 42:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Unia Janikowo | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 32:38 | 29 |
| 14 | Nielba Wagrowiec | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 39:37 | 26 |
| 15 | Pomorzanin Torun | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | 26 |
| 16 | Unia Swarzedz | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 17 | Gwardia Koszalin | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26:33 | 25 |
| 18 | Swinoujscie | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:35 | 25 |
| 19 | Gryf Wejherowo | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 31:49 | 21 |
| 20 | Chemik Police | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10:63 | 9 |
| 21 | Gornik Konin | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14:54 | 8 |
| 22 | KS Mieszko Gniezno | 21 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9:76 | 2 |
Promotion - Division 2 2021/2022 (Main)
