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Stadium Background

Jarocin vs Kujawianka

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Jarocin and Kujawianka finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Jarocin
15%
Draws
21%
Kujawianka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Jarocin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Jarocin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 16%
Kujawianka Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin Kujawianka
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 21 24
Goals Scored 1.41 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.91 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Kujawianka
2:2
Sep 5, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Kujawianka vs Jarocin
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 84 / 100
Kujawianka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin Kujawianka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarocin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kujawianka conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Jarocin's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Jarocin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jarocin VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarocin

(Home)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 9

Kujawianka

(Away)
04 Jun
Pelikan Niechanowo
6 : 0
Kujawianka
28 May
Kujawianka
2 : 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
21 May
Elana Torun
6 : 3
Kujawianka
14 May
Kujawianka
1 : 3
Lech Poznan II
07 May
KKS Kalisz
3 : 1
Kujawianka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warta Poznan 30 18 8 4 57:24 62
2 Pelikan Niechanowo 30 19 5 6 60:28 62
3 Lech Poznan II 30 17 9 4 69:23 60
4 Kleczew 30 15 8 7 63:30 53
5 Jarocin 30 14 9 7 47:27 51
6 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 30 15 6 9 45:28 51
7 Wda Swiecie 30 14 7 9 37:37 49
8 KKS Kalisz 30 13 6 11 41:41 45
9 Elana Torun 30 13 5 12 51:41 44
10 Unia Swarzedz 30 10 8 12 39:55 38
11 Start Warlubie 30 9 8 13 40:45 35
12 Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski 30 9 4 17 39:67 31
13 Ostrovia Ostrow 30 8 5 17 36:48 29
14 Nielba Wagrowiec 30 6 5 19 32:68 23
15 Sparta Brodnica 30 4 10 16 26:55 22
16 Kujawianka 30 3 3 24 26:91 12
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)