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Stadium Background

Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow

World World

Club Friendly 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Molewski M.
64' Event
Czabanski K.
80' Event
Nowak J.

AI Match Summary

Jarocin in this Club Friendly 2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jarocin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Jarocin
15%
Draws
8%
Ostrovia Ostrow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jarocin lately — more wins on the board than Ostrovia Ostrow.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Jarocin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 20%
Ostrovia Ostrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin Ostrovia Ostrow
Matches Played 44 32
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.41 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow
6:0
Jul 25, 2018 Club Friendly
Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow
3:0
Apr 16, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Jarocin
2:2
Sep 19, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow
1:0
Jun 8, 2014 Division 2 - West
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Jarocin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarocin Compare

Top Goalscorer Molewski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Czabanski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ostrovia Ostrow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 85 / 100
Ostrovia Ostrow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin Ostrovia Ostrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarocin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarocin scored in 70% of their last 44 games.

Ostrovia Ostrow has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Jarocin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jarocin VS Ostrovia Ostrow
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarocin

(Home)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
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Ostrovia Ostrow

(Away)
15 Feb
Ostrovia Ostrow
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
27 Jul
Krotoszyn
3 : 3
Ostrovia Ostrow
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
25 Jul
Jarocin
3 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
04 Jun
Elana Torun
2 : 1
Ostrovia Ostrow
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