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Jarocin vs Pelikan Niechanowo

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Jarocin and Pelikan Niechanowo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelikan Niechanowo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jarocin
6%
Draws
90%
Pelikan Niechanowo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pelikan Niechanowo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pelikan Niechanowo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pelikan Niechanowo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 16%
Pelikan Niechanowo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin Pelikan Niechanowo
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Pelikan Niechanowo
1:2
Oct 11, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Pelikan Niechanowo vs Jarocin
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 10 / 100
Pelikan Niechanowo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin Pelikan Niechanowo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Jarocin found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (38 games).

Recent resilience: Jarocin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Pelikan Niechanowo let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jarocin VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarocin

(Home)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 8

Pelikan Niechanowo

(Away)
04 Jun
Pelikan Niechanowo
6 : 0
Kujawianka
28 May
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1
Pelikan Niechanowo
21 May
Pelikan Niechanowo
3 : 2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
14 May
Nielba Wagrowiec
0 : 1
Pelikan Niechanowo
08 May
Pelikan Niechanowo
1 : 0
Elana Torun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Warta Poznan30188457:2462
2Pelikan Niechanowo30195660:2862
3Lech Poznan II30179469:2360
4Kleczew30158763:3053
5Jarocin30149747:2751
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol30156945:2851
7Wda Swiecie30147937:3749
8KKS Kalisz301361141:4145
9Elana Torun301351251:4144
10Unia Swarzedz301081239:5538
11Start Warlubie30981340:4535
12Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski30941739:6731
13Ostrovia Ostrow30851736:4829
14Nielba Wagrowiec30651932:6823
15Sparta Brodnica304101626:5522
16Kujawianka30332426:9112
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)