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Jarocin vs Sparta Brodnica

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Jarocin and Sparta Brodnica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jarocin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jarocin
6%
Draws
4%
Sparta Brodnica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jarocin has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sparta Brodnica.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Jarocin.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 19%
Sparta Brodnica Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin Sparta Brodnica
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Sparta Brodnica
2:1
Oct 3, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Sparta Brodnica vs Jarocin
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 85 / 100
Sparta Brodnica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin Sparta Brodnica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarocin scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Sparta Brodnica let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Jarocin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sparta Brodnica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jarocin VS Sparta Brodnica
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Warta Poznan30188457:2462
2Pelikan Niechanowo30195660:2862
3Lech Poznan II30179469:2360
4Kleczew30158763:3053
5Jarocin30149747:2751
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol30156945:2851
7Wda Swiecie30147937:3749
8KKS Kalisz301361141:4145
9Elana Torun301351251:4144
10Unia Swarzedz301081239:5538
11Start Warlubie30981340:4535
12Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski30941739:6731
13Ostrovia Ostrow30851736:4829
14Nielba Wagrowiec30651932:6823
15Sparta Brodnica304101626:5522
16Kujawianka30332426:9112