Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarocin vs Vineta Wolin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Saktura A.
33' Event
Pacynski J.
58' Event
Wisniewski K.

AI Match Summary

Jarocin in this III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jarocin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jarocin
15%
Draws
0%
Vineta Wolin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jarocin have won more games recently than Vineta Wolin.
  • Model gives Jarocin a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jarocin have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 20%
Vineta Wolin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin Vineta Wolin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.27 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.27 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Vineta Wolin
3:2
Oct 15, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Vineta Wolin vs Jarocin
1:2
Mar 18, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Vineta Wolin vs Jarocin
0:1
Aug 13, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Vineta Wolin
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarocin Compare

Top Goalscorer Saktura A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pacynski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Vineta Wolin Compare

Top Goalscorer Wisniewski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ostrowski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 85 / 100
Vineta Wolin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin Vineta Wolin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarocin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vineta Wolin has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Vineta Wolin's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Jarocin's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vineta Wolin
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarocin

(Home)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6

Vineta Wolin

(Away)
07 Jun
Vineta Wolin
2 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
31 May
Kleczew
5 : 2
Vineta Wolin
24 May
Vineta Wolin
2 : 4
Gryf Slupsk
21 May
Notec Czarnkow
7 : 1
Vineta Wolin
17 May
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
Vineta Wolin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ol. Grudziadz 34 23 7 4 73:18 76
2 Pogon Szczecin II 34 20 9 5 69:25 69
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 4 10 75:54 64
4 Zawisza 34 19 5 10 69:45 62
5 Gedania Gdansk 34 19 4 11 63:59 61
6 Starogard Gdanski 34 17 8 9 44:35 59
7 Swit Szczecin 34 16 7 11 61:41 55
8 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 16 6 12 51:46 54
9 Kleczew 34 14 5 15 53:48 47
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 11 11 12 37:42 44
11 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 10 13 37:40 43
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 10 12 12 46:45 42
13 Stolem Gniewino 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
14 Vineta Wolin 34 8 11 15 47:66 35
15 Unia Solec Kujawski 34 9 8 17 40:59 35
16 Jarocin 34 9 6 19 41:69 33
17 B. Gdynia 34 8 4 22 43:70 28
18 Unia Janikowo 34 2 4 28 17:85 10
19 Przodkowo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)