Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaroslaw vs Star Starachowice

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Janiczak G.
33'
Swigut A.
68' Event
Fkhakadze D.

AI Match Summary

Jaroslaw in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaroslaw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jaroslaw
30%
Draws
23%
Star Starachowice
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jaroslaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Star Starachowice haven't matched Jaroslaw's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jaroslaw a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 20%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaroslaw Star Starachowice
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.3 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Star Starachowice
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaroslaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Janiczak G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fkhakadze D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Star Starachowice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaroslaw 85 / 100
Star Starachowice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaroslaw Star Starachowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaroslaw Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaroslaw scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Star Starachowice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Jaroslaw remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaroslaw VS Star Starachowice
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaroslaw

(Home)
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2
Korona Kielce II
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0
Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 6

Star Starachowice

(Away)
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3
Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0
Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 10 8 2 0 16:3 26
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 10 5 4 1 15:8 19
3 Czarni Polaniec 10 6 1 3 17:15 19
4 Wisloka Debica 10 6 1 3 14:12 19
5 Wislanie Skawina 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
6 Jaroslaw 10 5 2 3 26:17 17
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 10 5 2 3 24:20 17
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
9 Hetman Zamosc 10 3 4 3 18:18 13
10 Wisla II 10 3 4 3 13:13 13
11 Kolbuszowa Dolna 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Biala Podlaska 10 3 2 5 8:11 11
13 Busko-Zdroj 10 3 2 5 14:21 11
14 Star Starachowice 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
15 Korona Kielce II 10 2 2 6 21:26 8
16 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 10 2 2 6 9:14 8
17 Moravia Morawica 10 2 1 7 11:20 7
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 10 2 1 7 10:19 7
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)